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7 of 8 matches with xG: 20 goals from 16.4 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Sofia 0–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | 1.32–0.22 | 66% · 28% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Slavia Sofia had 66% |
| Levski Krumovgrad 3–2 Hebar 1918 | 1.77–1.43 | 46% · 23% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Levski Krumovgrad |
| CSKA Sofia 1–2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1.29–1.86 | 27% · 23% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
| Ludogorets 5–1 Levski Sofia | 2.54–0.74 | 76% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
| CSKA 1948 0–0 Botev Vratsa | 0.75–0.50 | 38% · 40% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Beroe 0–3 Botev Plovdiv | 1.00–1.19 | 31% · 29% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Botev Plovdiv |
| Cherno More Varna 3–0 Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.64–0.20 | 74% · 22% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Cherno More Varna |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.