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6 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 13.3 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Blagoevgrad 2–1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 0.81–1.11 | 26% · 31% · 42% | Won against the xG: Pirin Blagoevgrad |
| Arda Kardzhali 1–1 Levski Krumovgrad | 1.61–0.60 | 62% · 24% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Arda Kardzhali had 62% |
| Levski Sofia 2–0 Slavia Sofia | 0.74–1.13 | 24% · 31% · 45% | Won against the xG: Levski Sofia |
| Botev Vratsa 3–2 Hebar 1918 | 1.83–0.61 | 67% · 22% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Botev Vratsa |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–2 Ludogorets | 0.52–1.88 | 9% · 20% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
| Lokomotiv Sofia 0–1 CSKA Sofia | 0.53–1.96 | 9% · 19% · 72% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Sofia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.