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6 of 8 matches with xG: 13 goals from 12.6 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Sofia 1–2 Slavia Sofia | 0.10–1.50 | 2% · 23% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Sofia |
| CSKA 1948 1–2 CSKA Sofia | 0.96–1.63 | 22% · 25% · 53% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Sofia |
| Beroe 2–0 Cherno More Varna | 1.40–1.66 | 32% · 24% · 44% | Close call, Beroe won |
| Botev Vratsa 1–2 Arda Kardzhali | 0.91–1.96 | 17% · 21% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Arda Kardzhali |
| Levski Sofia 0–0 Levski Krumovgrad | 0.83–0.34 | 45% · 40% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| Botev Plovdiv 0–2 Ludogorets | 0.37–0.94 | 14% · 37% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.