Bulgaria First League 2024/2025 xG Round-Up: Matchday 30

Matchday 30 in xG

4 of 8 matches with xG: 8 goals from 11.9 xG (0.67 goals per xG).

• Most xG without a win: Cherno More Varna 1–1 Beroe (xG 1.05–2.13). Draw against the xG: Beroe had 62% to win on xG.
• Biggest win against the xG: Levski Krumovgrad 1–0 CSKA Sofia (xG 1.00–2.54). The winner had 13% on xG.
• Win most in line with xG: Ludogorets 2–1 Spartak Varna (xG 2.88–0.29). The winner had 89% on xG.
• Most xG: Levski Krumovgrad 1–0 CSKA Sofia (xG 1.00–2.54). 3.54 xG in all.
• Most one-sided: Ludogorets 2–1 Spartak Varna (xG 2.88–0.29). An xG gap of 2.59.
• Most goals above xG: Spartak Varna, +0.71 goals above xG.
• Most goals below xG: CSKA Sofia, -2.54 goals below xG.

Every match

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 29