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4 of 8 matches with xG: 10 goals from 11.6 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Plovdiv 3–0 Septemvri Sofia | 2.39–1.34 | 61% · 19% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Botev Plovdiv |
| CSKA Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 3.33–0.48 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Sofia |
| Levski Sofia 1–2 Cherno More Varna | 0.85–0.87 | 33% · 34% · 34% | Close call, Cherno More Varna won |
| Hebar 1918 0–2 Ludogorets | 0.84–1.48 | 21% · 26% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.