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7 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 18.2 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cherno More Varna 1–1 Botev Plovdiv | 3.31–0.84 | 84% · 10% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Cherno More Varna had 84% |
| Botev Vratsa 1–1 CSKA Sofia | 0.35–1.02 | 13% · 35% · 52% | Draw against the xG: CSKA Sofia had 52% |
| Levski Krumovgrad 1–0 Hebar 1918 | 1.62–1.33 | 44% · 24% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Levski Krumovgrad |
| Beroe 0–1 Levski Sofia | 0.12–0.55 | 7% · 55% · 39% | Close call, Levski Sofia won |
| Septemvri Sofia 0–4 Arda Kardzhali | 2.47–2.68 | 37% · 18% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Arda Kardzhali |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–2 Spartak Varna | 0.78–1.05 | 27% · 32% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Spartak Varna |
| CSKA 1948 1–3 Ludogorets | 0.76–1.31 | 22% · 29% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.