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1 of 8 matches with xG: 3 goals from 2.5 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets 3–0 CSKA 1948 | 1.33–1.21 | 39% · 27% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.