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5 of 8 matches with xG: 8 goals from 7.5 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Levski Krumovgrad | 0.80–0.65 | 36% · 37% · 27% | Close call, Arda Kardzhali won |
| CSKA Sofia 3–1 Hebar 1918 | 2.21–0.09 | 87% · 12% · 1% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Sofia |
| Beroe 0–0 Lokomotiv Sofia | 0.76–0.28 | 44% · 43% · 13% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cherno More Varna 2–0 Septemvri Sofia | 1.30–0.16 | 67% · 28% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Cherno More Varna |
| Slavia Sofia 0–1 Ludogorets | 0.22–1.06 | 8% · 35% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.