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5 of 8 matches with xG: 7 goals from 9.7 xG (0.72 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beroe 3–0 Spartak Varna | 1.14–0.18 | 62% · 32% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Beroe |
| Botev Vratsa 0–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0.61–0.87 | 24% · 37% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Levski Sofia 1–0 CSKA Sofia | 1.24–1.30 | 35% · 27% · 38% | Close call, Levski Sofia won |
| Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Slavia Sofia | 0.30–0.62 | 15% · 48% · 37% | Won against the xG: Botev Plovdiv |
| Septemvri Sofia 0–2 Ludogorets | 0.03–3.37 | 0% · 4% · 96% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.