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Bulgaria First League 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 30

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Matches

Matchday 30 in xG

6 of 8 matches with xG: 10 goals from 12.7 xG (0.79 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
CSKA Sofia 1–1 Levski Sofia0.24–1.356% · 28% · 66%Draw against the xG: Levski Sofia had 66%
Dobrudzha 0–3 Botev Plovdiv0.58–1.7412% · 23% · 66%Win in line with xG for Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna 0–4 CSKA 19480.46–2.027% · 18% · 75%Win in line with xG for CSKA 1948
Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Ludogorets0.35–2.195% · 15% · 80%Won against the xG: Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia 0–0 Spartak Varna0.85–0.6538% · 36% · 26%Draw in line with xG
Montana 0–0 Slavia Sofia1.34–0.9246% · 28% · 26%Draw in line with xG

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 29

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