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2 of 8 matches with xG: 2 goals from 3.4 xG (0.59 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana 0–1 CSKA Sofia | 0.51–1.21 | 16% · 31% · 54% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Sofia |
| Spartak Varna 1–0 Dobrudzha | 1.22–0.46 | 55% · 31% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Spartak Varna |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.