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7 of 8 matches with xG: 22 goals from 17.4 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Kardzhali 2–1 Montana | 1.36–1.28 | 39% · 26% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Arda Kardzhali |
| Botev Plovdiv 5–0 Spartak Varna | 3.23–0.33 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Botev Plovdiv |
| Beroe 0–3 CSKA Sofia | 1.14–2.56 | 15% · 17% · 68% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Sofia |
| Cherno More Varna 1–3 Slavia Sofia | 1.87–1.67 | 43% · 22% · 35% | Close call, Slavia Sofia won |
| Dobrudzha 2–2 Levski Sofia | 0.74–0.80 | 30% · 36% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ludogorets 3–0 CSKA 1948 | 1.34–0.48 | 58% · 28% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
| Septemvri Sofia 0–0 Botev Vratsa | 0.44–0.14 | 32% · 59% · 9% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.