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8 of 8 matches with xG: 26 goals from 22.5 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna 1–5 Ludogorets | 0.72–2.61 | 8% · 14% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
| Slavia Sofia 0–1 Botev Plovdiv | 0.95–2.39 | 13% · 17% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Botev Plovdiv |
| Septemvri Sofia 1–4 Arda Kardzhali | 1.11–1.60 | 26% · 25% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Arda Kardzhali |
| CSKA 1948 3–2 Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.44–1.03 | 47% · 26% · 27% | Win in line with xG for CSKA 1948 |
| Levski Sofia 2–1 Cherno More Varna | 2.78–0.83 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
| Montana 0–1 Beroe | 0.88–1.72 | 19% · 24% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Beroe |
| CSKA Sofia 2–0 Dobrudzha | 1.14–0.30 | 58% · 33% · 10% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Sofia |
| Botev Vratsa 1–2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1.36–1.66 | 31% · 24% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.