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8 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 16.0 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Septemvri Sofia | 0.73–0.07 | 49% · 47% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
| Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Slavia Sofia | 2.11–0.87 | 66% · 20% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Lokomotiv Sofia had 66% |
| Spartak Varna 1–2 CSKA 1948 | 0.59–2.34 | 8% · 16% · 77% | Win in line with xG for CSKA 1948 |
| Botev Plovdiv 1–3 Botev Vratsa | 1.04–1.78 | 22% · 23% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Botev Vratsa |
| Ludogorets 3–0 CSKA Sofia | 1.79–0.34 | 73% · 20% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
| Cherno More Varna 1–0 Montana | 0.29–0.77 | 13% · 43% · 44% | Won against the xG: Cherno More Varna |
| Beroe 0–1 Levski Sofia | 0.59–0.66 | 27% · 41% · 32% | Close call, Levski Sofia won |
| Arda Kardzhali 2–0 Dobrudzha | 1.39–0.64 | 55% · 28% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Arda Kardzhali |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.