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7 of 8 matches with xG: 12 goals from 15.6 xG (0.77 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Sofia 4–0 Spartak Varna | 1.33–0.42 | 60% · 29% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Sofia |
| Botev Vratsa 1–0 Arda Kardzhali | 0.75–0.50 | 38% · 40% · 22% | Close call, Botev Vratsa won |
| Dobrudzha 1–0 Beroe | 2.45–0.94 | 71% · 17% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Dobrudzha |
| CSKA 1948 0–0 Botev Plovdiv | 1.70–0.48 | 67% · 23% · 10% | Draw against the xG: CSKA 1948 had 67% |
| CSKA Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.61–0.18 | 74% · 22% · 4% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Sofia |
| Montana 0–3 Ludogorets | 0.47–2.41 | 5% · 14% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
| Levski Sofia 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 2.09–0.25 | 81% · 15% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.