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8 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 18.5 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna 1–0 Montana | 1.27–0.38 | 59% · 30% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Spartak Varna |
| Beroe 0–3 Slavia Sofia | 2.84–1.76 | 60% · 17% · 23% | Won against the xG: Slavia Sofia |
| Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Septemvri Sofia | 2.18–0.63 | 73% · 18% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Botev Plovdiv |
| Cherno More Varna 0–0 Arda Kardzhali | 0.22–0.71 | 10% · 46% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| CSKA Sofia 1–0 Botev Vratsa | 1.82–0.53 | 69% · 21% · 10% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Sofia |
| Lokomotiv Sofia 3–1 Dobrudzha | 1.91–0.24 | 78% · 18% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Lokomotiv Sofia |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–5 CSKA 1948 | 1.07–2.05 | 19% · 21% · 60% | Win in line with xG for CSKA 1948 |
| Ludogorets 1–0 Levski Sofia | 0.81–0.11 | 52% · 43% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.