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8 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 20.1 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Spartak Varna | 1.49–0.38 | 65% · 25% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Arda Kardzhali |
| Montana 0–0 Botev Plovdiv | 0.87–1.14 | 28% · 30% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Slavia Sofia 0–2 CSKA 1948 | 0.73–1.45 | 19% · 27% · 54% | Win in line with xG for CSKA 1948 |
| Botev Vratsa 0–0 Beroe | 0.59–0.59 | 29% · 42% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dobrudzha 2–1 Cherno More Varna | 1.27–0.74 | 49% · 29% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Dobrudzha |
| Septemvri Sofia 2–0 CSKA Sofia | 2.10–1.39 | 54% · 21% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Septemvri Sofia |
| Levski Sofia 4–3 Lokomotiv Sofia | 2.68–1.24 | 68% · 17% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
| Ludogorets 1–1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 2.59–0.82 | 75% · 15% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Ludogorets had 75% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.