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8 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 19.4 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Henan Jianye 0–2 Shijiazhuang Y. J. | 0.80–0.92 | 30% · 34% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Shijiazhuang Y. J. |
| Tianjin Teda 1–0 Wuhan Three Towns | 1.98–0.94 | 62% · 21% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Tianjin Teda |
| Nantong Zhiyun 0–3 Qingdao Youth Island | 0.69–0.73 | 30% · 38% · 32% | Close call, Qingdao Youth Island won |
| Beijing Guoan 0–0 Hangzhou Greentown | 1.07–0.78 | 42% · 32% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Qingdao Jonoon 1–0 Sichuan Jiuniu | 0.40–0.63 | 20% · 45% · 35% | Won against the xG: Qingdao Jonoon |
| Shanghai Shenhua 3–1 SHANGHAI SIPG | 2.51–1.18 | 66% · 18% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Shanghai Shenhua |
| Meizhou Kejia 2–1 Changchun Yatai | 1.94–0.90 | 62% · 21% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Meizhou Kejia |
| Shandong Luneng 3–0 Chengdu Better City | 1.09–2.87 | 12% · 15% · 74% | Won against the xG: Shandong Luneng |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.