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8 of 8 matches with xG: 28 goals from 26.5 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 Chengdu Better City | 0.99–2.23 | 16% · 19% · 65% | Draw against the xG: Chengdu Better City had 65% |
| Qingdao Youth Island 3–3 Meizhou Kejia | 1.66–2.15 | 30% · 21% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nantong Zhiyun 0–2 Shandong Luneng | 1.02–0.89 | 38% · 32% · 31% | Close call, Shandong Luneng won |
| Henan Jianye 2–1 Hangzhou Greentown | 1.65–2.11 | 30% · 21% · 49% | Close call, Henan Jianye won |
| Sichuan Jiuniu 2–1 Changchun Yatai | 1.28–1.68 | 29% · 24% · 47% | Won against the xG: Sichuan Jiuniu |
| Beijing Guoan 2–0 Tianjin Teda | 1.44–1.66 | 33% · 24% · 43% | Close call, Beijing Guoan won |
| SHANGHAI SIPG 5–0 Qingdao Jonoon | 3.33–0.38 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for SHANGHAI SIPG |
| Shijiazhuang Y. J. 0–5 Shanghai Shenhua | 0.25–3.77 | 1% · 4% · 95% | Win in line with xG for Shanghai Shenhua |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.