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7 of 8 matches with xG: 23 goals from 20.6 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHANGHAI SIPG 2–0 Sichuan Jiuniu | 3.42–1.15 | 80% · 11% · 9% | Win in line with xG for SHANGHAI SIPG |
| Hangzhou Greentown 3–4 Shanghai Shenhua | 1.51–2.33 | 24% · 20% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Shanghai Shenhua |
| Shandong Luneng 0–1 Qingdao Youth Island | 2.27–0.62 | 75% · 17% · 9% | Won against the xG: Qingdao Youth Island |
| Tianjin Teda 1–0 Henan Jianye | 1.67–1.02 | 53% · 24% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Tianjin Teda |
| Chengdu Better City 2–2 Beijing Guoan | 1.02–0.36 | 52% · 35% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Chengdu Better City had 52% |
| Changchun Yatai 3–2 Nantong Zhiyun | 1.40–0.54 | 58% · 27% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Changchun Yatai |
| Shijiazhuang Y. J. 2–1 Meizhou Kejia | 0.82–2.46 | 10% · 16% · 73% | Won against the xG: Shijiazhuang Y. J. |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.