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6 of 8 matches with xG: 20 goals from 20.1 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Shenhua 3–0 Tianjin Teda | 1.58–0.42 | 66% · 24% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Shanghai Shenhua |
| Qingdao Jonoon 0–3 Hangzhou Greentown | 0.27–1.79 | 5% · 20% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Hangzhou Greentown |
| Shandong Luneng 3–1 Wuhan Three Towns | 4.91–1.08 | 92% · 5% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Shandong Luneng |
| Changchun Yatai 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island | 1.02–1.85 | 21% · 23% · 57% | Won against the xG: Changchun Yatai |
| Meizhou Kejia 0–4 Beijing Guoan | 0.52–1.86 | 10% · 21% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Beijing Guoan |
| Chengdu Better City 5–0 Sichuan Jiuniu | 4.47–0.29 | 97% · 2% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Chengdu Better City |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.