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4 of 8 matches with xG: 11 goals from 12.7 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Henan Jianye 2–2 Shandong Luneng | 3.04–1.27 | 73% · 14% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Henan Jianye had 73% |
| Dalian Zhixing 1–0 Hangzhou Greentown | 1.18–0.81 | 45% · 30% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Dalian Zhixing |
| Beijing Guoan 2–1 Yunnan Yukun | 2.70–0.84 | 77% · 14% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Beijing Guoan |
| Sichuan Jiuniu 1–2 SHANGHAI SIPG | 1.01–1.82 | 21% · 23% · 56% | Win in line with xG for SHANGHAI SIPG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.