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8 of 8 matches with xG: 25 goals from 24.7 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Changchun Yatai 1–3 SHANGHAI SIPG | 1.56–1.61 | 37% · 24% · 39% | Win in line with xG for SHANGHAI SIPG |
| Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 Qingdao Youth Island | 0.77–0.71 | 33% · 37% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Tianjin Teda 2–1 Chengdu Better City | 1.41–1.98 | 27% · 22% · 51% | Won against the xG: Tianjin Teda |
| Hangzhou Greentown 3–1 Yunnan Yukun | 2.40–0.35 | 83% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Hangzhou Greentown |
| Dalian Zhixing 2–0 Shandong Luneng | 0.93–1.13 | 30% · 30% · 40% | Close call, Dalian Zhixing won |
| Sichuan Jiuniu 4–0 Qingdao Jonoon | 3.19–1.36 | 73% · 14% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Sichuan Jiuniu |
| Beijing Guoan 1–3 Shanghai Shenhua | 1.32–2.12 | 23% · 21% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Shanghai Shenhua |
| Henan Jianye 1–1 Meizhou Kejia | 2.51–1.38 | 62% · 18% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Henan Jianye had 62% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.