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6 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 21.8 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Luneng 4–3 Yunnan Yukun | 2.30–2.60 | 36% · 18% · 46% | Close call, Shandong Luneng won |
| Sichuan Jiuniu 3–0 Qingdao Youth Island | 3.18–0.93 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Sichuan Jiuniu |
| Chengdu Better City 1–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long | 2.11–0.67 | 71% · 19% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Chengdu Better City had 71% |
| SHANGHAI SIPG 1–1 Dalian Zhixing | 2.73–1.38 | 66% · 17% · 17% | Draw against the xG: SHANGHAI SIPG had 66% |
| Tianjin Teda 1–0 Shenyang Urban | 1.17–1.17 | 36% · 28% · 36% | Close call, Tianjin Teda won |
| Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 Henan Jianye | 1.17–2.35 | 18% · 19% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Henan Jianye had 64% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.