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8 of 8 matches with xG: 22 goals from 16.4 xG (1.34 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dalian Zhixing 3–0 Hangzhou Greentown | 2.06–0.99 | 62% · 21% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Dalian Zhixing |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long 2–1 Wuhan Three Towns | 1.56–0.45 | 65% · 25% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Chongqing Tongliang Long |
| Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Shenyang Urban | 1.13–0.77 | 44% · 31% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Henan Jianye 0–1 Shandong Luneng | 0.61–0.71 | 27% · 40% · 33% | Close call, Shandong Luneng won |
| Shanghai Shenhua 1–0 SHANGHAI SIPG | 1.66–0.18 | 75% · 21% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Shanghai Shenhua |
| Tianjin Teda 1–1 Qingdao Jonoon | 0.30–0.92 | 12% · 38% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Qingdao Jonoon had 50% |
| Beijing Guoan 1–2 Chengdu Better City | 1.03–1.08 | 34% · 30% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Chengdu Better City |
| Sichuan Jiuniu 3–4 Yunnan Yukun | 1.90–1.07 | 57% · 22% · 21% | Won against the xG: Yunnan Yukun |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.