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Primera A 2025 xG Round-Up: Matchday 20

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Matches

Matchday 20 in xG

9 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 20.5 xG (1.12 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Chico 1–2 Millonarios1.14–1.1236% · 29% · 35%Close call, Millonarios won
Águilas Doradas 1–2 Deportes Tolima1.34–1.6232% · 24% · 44%Win in line with xG for Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Cali 1–1 Once Caldas1.71–0.7361% · 24% · 16%Draw against the xG: Deportivo Cali had 61%
Deportivo Pasto 3–0 Bucaramanga1.66–0.2075% · 21% · 4%Win in line with xG for Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellin 3–0 America de Cali1.01–0.4948% · 35% · 18%Win in line with xG for Independiente Medellin
Junior 2–1 Atletico Nacional2.04–0.3578% · 17% · 5%Win in line with xG for Junior
Llaneros 0–3 Envigado1.06–1.8521% · 23% · 56%Win in line with xG for Envigado
Santa Fe 1–0 Alianza Valledupar0.69–0.1246% · 48% · 6%Close call, Santa Fe won
Union Magdalena 2–0 Fortaleza FC2.04–1.3454% · 21% · 25%Win in line with xG for Union Magdalena

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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