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8 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 24.0 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Envigado 1–1 Millonarios | 1.19–0.85 | 44% · 30% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Deportivo Pereira 1–4 Independiente Medellin | 0.53–1.96 | 9% · 19% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Independiente Medellin |
| Deportes Tolima 3–1 Llaneros | 1.03–0.56 | 46% · 34% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Deportes Tolima |
| Fortaleza FC 1–1 Junior | 1.26–1.45 | 33% · 26% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atletico Nacional 2–1 Águilas Doradas | 3.17–1.37 | 73% · 14% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Nacional |
| Bucaramanga 2–1 Internacional de Bogota | 1.60–1.08 | 49% · 25% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Bucaramanga |
| Alianza Valledupar 2–0 Chico | 3.59–2.48 | 60% · 15% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Alianza Valledupar |
| Santa Fe 1–0 Deportivo Cali | 1.09–0.78 | 43% · 32% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Santa Fe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.