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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 22.3 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Once Caldas 4–2 Deportivo Pasto | 1.31–2.47 | 19% · 18% · 63% | Won against the xG: Once Caldas |
| Atletico Nacional 2–0 Llaneros | 1.55–0.72 | 57% · 26% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Nacional |
| Internacional de Bogota 0–0 Bucaramanga | 0.44–0.81 | 19% · 40% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cucuta 0–2 Deportivo Cali | 1.67–1.08 | 51% · 24% · 25% | Won against the xG: Deportivo Cali |
| Chico 2–1 Millonarios | 1.41–1.89 | 29% · 22% · 49% | Won against the xG: Chico |
| Santa Fe 1–1 Alianza Valledupar | 0.65–0.24 | 40% · 48% · 12% | Draw in line with xG |
| Deportivo Pereira 0–1 Águilas Doradas | 0.48–1.12 | 16% · 33% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Águilas Doradas |
| America de Cali 1–1 Deportes Tolima | 0.64–1.46 | 16% · 27% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Deportes Tolima had 57% |
| Jaguares 1–2 Independiente Medellin | 0.65–1.17 | 21% · 31% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Independiente Medellin |
| Junior 2–1 Fortaleza FC | 1.30–1.25 | 38% · 27% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Junior |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.