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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 19.4 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros 2–2 Cucuta | 0.99–0.90 | 36% · 32% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Millonarios 3–0 Atletico Nacional | 1.12–1.10 | 36% · 29% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Millonarios |
| Deportivo Pasto 2–0 Chico | 2.49–0.07 | 90% · 9% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo Pasto |
| Internacional de Bogota 2–2 Deportivo Pereira | 2.76–0.88 | 77% · 14% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Internacional de Bogota had 77% |
| Bucaramanga 1–1 Once Caldas | 0.56–0.97 | 21% · 35% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Deportivo Cali 1–1 Santa Fe | 0.63–0.88 | 25% · 36% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Alianza Valledupar 1–0 Jaguares | 0.57–0.36 | 33% · 48% · 19% | Close call, Alianza Valledupar won |
| Deportes Tolima 2–0 Fortaleza FC | 1.62–0.47 | 66% · 24% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Deportes Tolima |
| Independiente Medellin 2–0 Junior | 1.20–0.94 | 42% · 29% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Independiente Medellin |
| Águilas Doradas 0–1 America de Cali | 0.62–0.25 | 39% · 49% · 13% | Won against the xG: America de Cali |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.