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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 19.4 xG (1.29 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Once Caldas 1–4 Millonarios | 0.72–0.97 | 26% · 34% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Millonarios |
| Atletico Nacional 3–0 Internacional de Bogota | 1.23–0.31 | 60% · 30% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Nacional |
| Alianza Valledupar 1–0 Deportivo Cali | 0.73–0.45 | 38% · 42% · 20% | Close call, Alianza Valledupar won |
| Chico 1–1 Deportes Tolima | 0.22–1.98 | 3% · 16% · 80% | Draw against the xG: Deportes Tolima had 80% |
| Santa Fe 2–1 Independiente Medellin | 1.32–1.50 | 33% · 25% · 42% | Close call, Santa Fe won |
| Jaguares 1–1 Águilas Doradas | 1.43–0.87 | 50% · 27% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Jaguares had 50% |
| Deportivo Pereira 2–2 Cucuta | 0.71–1.69 | 15% · 24% · 61% | Draw against the xG: Cucuta had 61% |
| Junior 2–0 Bucaramanga | 0.46–0.74 | 21% · 41% · 38% | Won against the xG: Junior |
| Fortaleza FC 1–2 Deportivo Pasto | 0.57–0.61 | 28% · 42% · 30% | Close call, Deportivo Pasto won |
| America de Cali 0–0 Llaneros | 2.56–0.32 | 86% · 11% · 3% | Draw against the xG: America de Cali had 86% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.