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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 24.3 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Águilas Doradas 1–0 Alianza Valledupar | 2.00–0.61 | 70% · 19% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Águilas Doradas |
| Bucaramanga 1–2 Santa Fe | 0.96–0.80 | 38% · 33% · 29% | Close call, Santa Fe won |
| Cucuta 1–0 Chico | 0.59–1.57 | 14% · 25% · 61% | Won against the xG: Cucuta |
| Deportes Tolima 3–1 Jaguares | 2.37–1.31 | 61% · 19% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Deportes Tolima |
| Deportivo Cali 1–0 Deportivo Pereira | 1.64–1.07 | 51% · 25% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo Cali |
| Internacional de Bogota 0–1 Junior | 1.52–0.76 | 55% · 26% · 19% | Won against the xG: Junior |
| Deportivo Pasto 1–2 Atletico Nacional | 0.95–1.89 | 19% · 22% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Nacional |
| Llaneros 1–1 Once Caldas | 1.18–1.25 | 35% · 27% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Independiente Medellin 2–1 America de Cali | 1.39–0.51 | 59% · 28% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Independiente Medellin |
| Millonarios 2–2 Fortaleza FC | 1.22–0.74 | 48% · 30% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.