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10 of 10 matches with xG: 17 goals from 22.2 xG (0.76 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima 4–1 Águilas Doradas | 2.51–1.01 | 70% · 17% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Deportes Tolima |
| Alianza Valledupar 0–0 Deportivo Pasto | 0.64–0.77 | 27% · 38% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Santa Fe 0–1 Llaneros | 0.85–0.60 | 39% · 37% · 24% | Close call, Llaneros won |
| Atletico Nacional 0–0 Cucuta | 1.67–0.16 | 76% · 21% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Atletico Nacional had 76% |
| Chico 1–0 Deportivo Pereira | 1.14–0.31 | 57% · 33% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Chico |
| America de Cali 2–0 Bucaramanga | 1.83–1.52 | 45% · 23% · 32% | Win in line with xG for America de Cali |
| Jaguares 1–0 Millonarios | 1.85–0.89 | 60% · 22% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Jaguares |
| Once Caldas 1–1 Independiente Medellin | 0.64–0.67 | 29% · 40% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fortaleza FC 1–1 Internacional de Bogota | 0.42–1.50 | 10% · 25% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Internacional de Bogota had 64% |
| Junior 1–2 Deportivo Cali | 1.56–1.70 | 35% · 23% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo Cali |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.