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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 19.5 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali 1–1 Fortaleza FC | 0.73–0.54 | 36% · 40% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Llaneros 2–0 Jaguares | 1.47–1.02 | 48% · 26% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Llaneros |
| Cucuta 2–0 America de Cali | 1.13–0.97 | 39% · 30% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Cucuta |
| Deportivo Pereira 0–0 Once Caldas | 1.16–0.62 | 49% · 31% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Deportes Tolima | 0.20–0.69 | 10% · 47% · 43% | Won against the xG: Deportivo Pasto |
| Águilas Doradas 0–3 Junior | 0.90–1.58 | 21% · 25% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Junior |
| Independiente Medellin 2–3 Atletico Nacional | 0.42–1.73 | 8% · 22% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Nacional |
| Millonarios 1–1 Santa Fe | 1.48–1.04 | 47% · 26% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bucaramanga 5–0 Chico | 1.16–0.82 | 44% · 30% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Bucaramanga |
| Internacional de Bogota 2–1 Alianza Valledupar | 0.87–0.95 | 32% · 33% · 36% | Close call, Internacional de Bogota won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.