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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 18.9 xG (1.42 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares 2–3 Deportivo Pasto | 1.54–1.07 | 48% · 25% · 26% | Won against the xG: Deportivo Pasto |
| Chico 1–0 Deportivo Cali | 0.41–0.68 | 19% · 44% · 37% | Won against the xG: Chico |
| Deportes Tolima 2–0 Deportivo Pereira | 1.54–0.24 | 71% · 24% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Deportes Tolima |
| Fortaleza FC 2–0 Águilas Doradas | 0.72–0.70 | 32% · 38% · 30% | Close call, Fortaleza FC won |
| Santa Fe 5–0 Cucuta | 1.10–0.43 | 52% · 33% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Santa Fe |
| Alianza Valledupar 0–1 Independiente Medellin | 1.23–0.50 | 54% · 30% · 15% | Won against the xG: Independiente Medellin |
| Junior 2–0 Llaneros | 1.02–1.02 | 35% · 30% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Junior |
| America de Cali 3–1 Millonarios | 1.18–0.74 | 46% · 31% · 23% | Win in line with xG for America de Cali |
| Once Caldas 2–1 Internacional de Bogota | 1.25–1.35 | 34% · 26% · 39% | Close call, Once Caldas won |
| Atletico Nacional 2–0 Bucaramanga | 1.26–0.97 | 43% · 28% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Nacional |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.