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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 16.5 xG (1.33 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pasto 1–2 Santa Fe | 0.86–0.79 | 35% · 35% · 31% | Close call, Santa Fe won |
| Millonarios 2–0 Deportes Tolima | 1.51–0.42 | 65% · 25% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Millonarios |
| Cucuta 1–1 Junior | 1.43–0.22 | 69% · 26% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Cucuta had 69% |
| Bucaramanga 2–2 Jaguares | 1.34–0.58 | 55% · 28% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Bucaramanga had 55% |
| Deportivo Pereira 1–0 Atletico Nacional | 0.67–0.50 | 34% · 42% · 23% | Close call, Deportivo Pereira won |
| Deportivo Cali 1–0 America de Cali | 1.13–0.19 | 61% · 33% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo Cali |
| Independiente Medellin 1–0 Fortaleza FC | 1.06–0.24 | 57% · 35% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Independiente Medellin |
| Águilas Doradas 2–2 Once Caldas | 1.35–0.64 | 54% · 28% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Águilas Doradas had 54% |
| Llaneros 0–0 Alianza Valledupar | 0.63–0.23 | 40% · 49% · 12% | Draw in line with xG |
| Internacional de Bogota 4–0 Chico | 1.91–0.82 | 63% · 22% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Internacional de Bogota |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.