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6 of 10 matches with xG: 12 goals from 11.3 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Junior 3–0 Chico | 2.24–0.16 | 86% · 13% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Junior |
| Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Once Caldas | 0.48–0.50 | 26% · 47% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Deportivo Cali 0–0 Millonarios | 0.53–0.47 | 29% · 47% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Jaguares 1–0 Deportivo Pereira | 0.38–0.48 | 21% · 50% · 28% | Close call, Jaguares won |
| Santa Fe 1–2 Atletico Nacional | 1.28–1.60 | 31% · 25% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Nacional |
| Fortaleza FC 1–2 America de Cali | 1.58–1.57 | 38% · 24% · 38% | Close call, America de Cali won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.