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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 21.2 xG (1.41 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cucuta 1–3 Independiente Medellin | 1.43–0.98 | 47% · 27% · 26% | Won against the xG: Independiente Medellin |
| Llaneros 0–1 Deportivo Pasto | 0.44–1.27 | 13% · 30% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo Pasto |
| Bucaramanga 0–0 Deportes Tolima | 0.90–0.31 | 49% · 39% · 12% | Draw in line with xG |
| Millonarios 1–0 Águilas Doradas | 1.07–0.18 | 59% · 34% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Millonarios |
| Internacional de Bogota 3–2 Deportivo Cali | 0.80–1.14 | 26% · 31% · 44% | Won against the xG: Internacional de Bogota |
| Chico 5–0 Jaguares | 1.11–0.08 | 64% · 33% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Chico |
| Once Caldas 2–1 Junior | 1.16–1.16 | 36% · 28% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Once Caldas |
| Atletico Nacional 4–1 Fortaleza FC | 3.14–0.69 | 85% · 10% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Nacional |
| America de Cali 1–0 Santa Fe | 1.40–0.76 | 52% · 27% · 20% | Win in line with xG for America de Cali |
| Deportivo Pereira 2–3 Alianza Valledupar | 1.74–1.47 | 44% · 23% · 33% | Close call, Alianza Valledupar won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.