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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 22.5 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millonarios 2–1 Llaneros | 1.58–0.28 | 71% · 23% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Millonarios |
| Independiente Medellin 1–1 Deportivo Pereira | 1.84–0.35 | 74% · 20% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Independiente Medellin had 74% |
| Deportivo Pasto 1–1 Internacional de Bogota | 0.93–0.76 | 38% · 34% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Deportes Tolima 2–1 Once Caldas | 1.78–0.66 | 64% · 22% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Deportes Tolima |
| Deportivo Cali 1–0 Atletico Nacional | 0.61–1.06 | 21% · 33% · 46% | Won against the xG: Deportivo Cali |
| Fortaleza FC 2–1 Chico | 1.55–0.23 | 71% · 23% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza FC |
| Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Cucuta | 1.54–1.07 | 48% · 25% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Jaguares 3–1 Santa Fe | 1.30–1.94 | 26% · 22% · 52% | Won against the xG: Jaguares |
| Junior 2–1 America de Cali | 2.91–0.47 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Junior |
| Águilas Doradas 2–1 Bucaramanga | 0.52–1.15 | 17% · 32% · 51% | Won against the xG: Águilas Doradas |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.