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5 of 5 matches with xG: 18 goals from 14.8 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb 1–2 HNK Hajduk Split | 2.02–1.44 | 51% · 22% · 27% | Won against the xG: HNK Hajduk Split |
| HNK Rijeka 4–0 Rudes | 2.70–0.95 | 74% · 15% · 11% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
| NK Osijek 6–1 NK Slaven Belupo | 2.28–1.14 | 63% · 19% · 18% | Win in line with xG for NK Osijek |
| HNK Gorica 1–1 NK Varazdin | 1.75–0.95 | 56% · 23% · 20% | Draw against the xG: HNK Gorica had 56% |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 Istra 1961 | 0.81–0.80 | 33% · 35% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.