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5 of 5 matches with xG: 16 goals from 12.7 xG (1.26 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Varazdin 2–2 NK Slaven Belupo | 1.03–1.96 | 19% · 22% · 59% | Draw against the xG: NK Slaven Belupo had 59% |
| HNK Gorica 1–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.47–0.52 | 61% · 26% · 13% | Win in line with xG for HNK Gorica |
| Istra 1961 0–3 Dinamo Zagreb | 0.37–1.12 | 12% · 33% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| Rudes 3–4 NK Osijek | 1.94–2.05 | 38% · 21% · 42% | Win in line with xG for NK Osijek |
| HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Rijeka | 2.11–0.14 | 84% · 14% · 2% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.