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4 of 5 matches with xG: 14 goals from 17.3 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rudes 0–4 Istra 1961 | 0.55–3.07 | 4% · 10% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Istra 1961 |
| NK Osijek 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.52–1.16 | 46% · 25% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| HNK Hajduk Split 3–1 NK Varazdin | 4.50–1.35 | 87% · 7% · 6% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
| HNK Rijeka 2–2 Dinamo Zagreb | 2.08–3.11 | 25% · 16% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Dinamo Zagreb had 59% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.