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5 of 5 matches with xG: 9 goals from 16.2 xG (0.56 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Slaven Belupo 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split | 1.40–2.46 | 21% · 19% · 61% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
| Rudes 0–0 NK Varazdin | 1.87–1.29 | 51% · 23% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Rudes had 51% |
| NK Osijek 3–1 Istra 1961 | 2.64–0.84 | 76% · 15% · 10% | Win in line with xG for NK Osijek |
| HNK Rijeka 1–0 HNK Gorica | 1.12–1.33 | 31% · 27% · 41% | Close call, HNK Rijeka won |
| Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 2.43–0.82 | 73% · 16% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.