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5 of 5 matches with xG: 7 goals from 13.0 xG (0.54 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rudes 0–0 NK Slaven Belupo | 1.19–0.93 | 42% · 29% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| NK Varazdin 0–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0.95–1.58 | 23% · 25% · 52% | Draw against the xG: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb had 52% |
| HNK Gorica 2–1 Dinamo Zagreb | 0.75–2.31 | 10% · 17% · 72% | Won against the xG: HNK Gorica |
| Istra 1961 1–1 HNK Rijeka | 1.28–1.28 | 37% · 27% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| HNK Hajduk Split 0–2 NK Osijek | 1.37–1.32 | 38% · 26% · 36% | Close call, NK Osijek won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.