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5 of 5 matches with xG: 14 goals from 11.9 xG (1.17 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Slaven Belupo 3–2 NK Varazdin | 1.09–1.78 | 23% · 23% · 54% | Won against the xG: NK Slaven Belupo |
| NK Osijek 3–0 Rudes | 2.92–0.03 | 94% · 6% · 0% | Win in line with xG for NK Osijek |
| HNK Rijeka 1–0 HNK Hajduk Split | 1.25–0.52 | 55% · 30% · 15% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 HNK Gorica | 0.92–1.11 | 30% · 30% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dinamo Zagreb 3–0 Istra 1961 | 1.65–0.67 | 61% · 24% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.