HNL 2023/2024 xG Round-Up: Matchday 9

Matchday 9 in xG

3 of 5 matches with xG: 4 goals from 7.3 xG (0.55 goals per xG).

• Most xG without a win: NK Osijek 1–1 NK Varazdin (xG 2.40–0.57). Draw against the xG: NK Osijek had 78% to win on xG.
• Biggest win against the xG: Istra 1961 0–1 HNK Gorica (xG 1.81–0.41). The winner had 8% on xG.
• Win most in line with xG: HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (xG 1.08–1.00). The winner had 37% on xG.
• Most xG: NK Osijek 1–1 NK Varazdin (xG 2.40–0.57). 2.97 xG in all.
• Most one-sided: NK Osijek 1–1 NK Varazdin (xG 2.40–0.57). An xG gap of 1.83.
• Most goals above xG: HNK Gorica, +0.59 goals above xG.
• Most goals below xG: Istra 1961, -1.81 goals below xG.

Every match

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 7 · Matchday 11