HNL 2023/2024 xG Round-Up: Matchday 7

Matchday 7 in xG

4 of 5 matches with xG: 12 goals from 12.8 xG (0.94 goals per xG).

• Most xG without a win: HNK Rijeka 2–2 NK Varazdin (xG 2.60–1.57). Draw against the xG: HNK Rijeka had 60% to win on xG.
• Biggest win against the xG: Rudes 0–2 HNK Gorica (xG 2.06–1.08). The winner had 19% on xG.
• Win most in line with xG: NK Osijek 2–3 Dinamo Zagreb (xG 0.85–3.15). The winner had 82% on xG.
• Most xG: HNK Rijeka 2–2 NK Varazdin (xG 2.60–1.57). 4.17 xG in all.
• Most one-sided: NK Osijek 2–3 Dinamo Zagreb (xG 0.85–3.15). An xG gap of 2.30.
• Most goals above xG: NK Osijek, +1.15 goals above xG.
• Most goals below xG: Rudes, -2.06 goals below xG.

Every match

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 4 · Matchday 9