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4 of 5 matches with xG: 7 goals from 8.5 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Istra 1961 2–0 NK Varazdin | 1.44–0.73 | 54% · 27% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Istra 1961 |
| NK Osijek 0–0 HNK Rijeka | 0.40–1.04 | 14% · 35% · 51% | Draw against the xG: HNK Rijeka had 51% |
| HNK Hajduk Split 3–0 HNK Gorica | 1.96–0.69 | 67% · 20% · 12% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
| NK Slaven Belupo 0–2 Dinamo Zagreb | 0.65–1.62 | 15% · 24% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.