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4 of 5 matches with xG: 15 goals from 13.6 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica 1–3 NK Varazdin | 1.00–3.50 | 7% · 10% · 83% | Win in line with xG for NK Varazdin |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–0 Istra 1961 | 1.37–1.24 | 40% · 26% · 34% | Win in line with xG for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
| HNK Rijeka 3–0 Rudes | 3.11–0.45 | 89% · 8% · 3% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
| NK Osijek 4–1 NK Slaven Belupo | 2.33–0.63 | 76% · 16% · 8% | Win in line with xG for NK Osijek |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.