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5 of 5 matches with xG: 12 goals from 11.8 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Varazdin 1–2 NK Slaven Belupo | 2.18–1.23 | 59% · 20% · 21% | Won against the xG: NK Slaven Belupo |
| NK Osijek 2–0 Rudes | 0.97–0.70 | 41% · 34% · 25% | Win in line with xG for NK Osijek |
| Istra 1961 0–1 Dinamo Zagreb | 0.24–1.02 | 9% · 36% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| HNK Gorica 1–2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0.62–2.46 | 7% · 15% · 78% | Win in line with xG for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
| HNK Hajduk Split 1–2 HNK Rijeka | 1.55–0.87 | 53% · 26% · 21% | Won against the xG: HNK Rijeka |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.