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5 of 5 matches with xG: 9 goals from 11.9 xG (0.76 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 NK Osijek | 0.73–2.49 | 9% · 15% · 76% | Draw against the xG: NK Osijek had 76% |
| NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split | 0.09–1.36 | 2% · 26% · 71% | Draw against the xG: HNK Hajduk Split had 71% |
| Istra 1961 2–1 Rudes | 0.86–0.40 | 45% · 39% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Istra 1961 |
| Dinamo Zagreb 1–0 HNK Rijeka | 2.58–0.75 | 77% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| HNK Gorica 1–0 NK Slaven Belupo | 1.30–1.36 | 36% · 26% · 38% | Close call, HNK Gorica won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.